Canadian real estate markets are heading into the busy season with negative price growth. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) numbers show an annual decline for the price of a benchmark home in February. The decline for the benchmark is the first since 2009, and the first for the index outside of recession.
Canadian Real Estate Prices Drop For The First Time Since 2009
The price of a typical home in Canada made the first annual decline in almost 10 years, last month. The CREA benchmark fell to $615,300 in February, up 0.3% from the month before. Prices are now down 0.13% lower when compared to the same month last year. This is the first annual decline since 2009, and the only one outside of a recession.
Canadian Real Estate Benchmark Change
The 12 month price in change of a typical home across Canada.
Date
Change
Jan 2006
9.6
Feb 2006
10.41
Mar 2006
11.38
Apr 2006
12.65
May 2006
13.98
Jun 2006
15.02
Jul 2006
15.7
Aug 2006
16.16
Sep 2006
16.42
Oct 2006
16.03
Nov 2006
15.97
Dec 2006
15.53
Jan 2007
15.33
Feb 2007
15.35
Mar 2007
15.07
Apr 2007
14.59
May 2007
14.13
Jun 2007
13.64
Jul 2007
12.91
Aug 2007
12.12
Sep 2007
11.2
Oct 2007
10.84
Nov 2007
10.25
Dec 2007
9.92
Jan 2008
9.18
Feb 2008
8.33
Mar 2008
7.43
Apr 2008
6.1
May 2008
4.52
Jun 2008
2.93
Jul 2008
1.68
Aug 2008
0.73
Sep 2008
-0.22
Oct 2008
-1.38
Nov 2008
-2.54
Dec 2008
-3.93
Jan 2009
-5.29
Feb 2009
-6.61
Mar 2009
-7.48
Apr 2009
-7.24
May 2009
-6.52
Jun 2009
-5.33
Jul 2009
-3.72
Aug 2009
-2.16
Sep 2009
-0.36
Oct 2009
1.62
Nov 2009
3.87
Dec 2009
6.06
Jan 2010
8.11
Feb 2010
10.15
Mar 2010
11.56
Apr 2010
11.56
May 2010
10.77
Jun 2010
9.47
Jul 2010
7.89
Aug 2010
6.19
Sep 2010
4.81
Oct 2010
3.76
Nov 2010
3.01
Dec 2010
2.43
Jan 2011
2.05
Feb 2011
1.75
Mar 2011
1.8
Apr 2011
2.13
May 2011
2.6
Jun 2011
3.16
Jul 2011
4
Aug 2011
4.72
Sep 2011
4.94
Oct 2011
5.16
Nov 2011
4.94
Dec 2011
4.88
Jan 2012
4.65
Feb 2012
4.53
Mar 2012
4.55
Apr 2012
4.64
May 2012
4.61
Jun 2012
4.39
Jul 2012
3.91
Aug 2012
3.58
Sep 2012
3.45
Oct 2012
3.31
Nov 2012
3.12
Dec 2012
2.99
Jan 2013
2.72
Feb 2013
2.5
Mar 2013
2.34
Apr 2013
2.25
May 2013
2.43
Jun 2013
2.61
Jul 2013
2.87
Aug 2013
3.13
Sep 2013
3.52
Oct 2013
3.85
Nov 2013
4.38
Dec 2013
4.58
Jan 2014
5.03
Feb 2014
5.51
Mar 2014
5.52
Apr 2014
5.46
May 2014
5.48
Jun 2014
5.71
Jul 2014
5.71
Aug 2014
5.64
Sep 2014
5.63
Oct 2014
5.74
Nov 2014
5.67
Dec 2014
5.86
Jan 2015
5.59
Feb 2015
5.22
Mar 2015
5.29
Apr 2015
5.36
May 2015
5.38
Jun 2015
5.52
Jul 2015
5.87
Aug 2015
6.16
Sep 2015
6.44
Oct 2015
6.48
Nov 2015
6.83
Dec 2015
6.94
Jan 2016
7.39
Feb 2016
8.14
Mar 2016
8.9
Apr 2016
10.06
May 2016
12.05
Jun 2016
13.14
Jul 2016
13.69
Aug 2016
14.15
Sep 2016
14.31
Oct 2016
14.59
Nov 2016
14.47
Dec 2016
14.45
Jan 2017
15.33
Feb 2017
16.01
Mar 2017
18.24
Apr 2017
19.31
May 2017
17.36
Jun 2017
15.26
Jul 2017
12.29
Aug 2017
10.56
Sep 2017
9.92
Oct 2017
9.1
Nov 2017
8.54
Dec 2017
8.43
Jan 2018
7.23
Feb 2018
6.26
Mar 2018
3.59
Apr 2018
1.21
May 2018
0.85
Jun 2018
0.85
Jul 2018
2.21
Aug 2018
2.54
Sep 2018
2.28
Oct 2018
2.33
Nov 2018
1.98
Dec 2018
1.63
Jan 2019
0.79
Feb 2019
-0.13
Source: CREA, Better Dwelling.
The annual pace of growth (or lack thereof) is trending lower. The 0.13% decline is small, but lower than the month before. This is the sixth consecutive month of declines, with prices dropping 1.45% over just the past 6 months.
Ontario Real Estate Markets See Biggest Price Gains
The largest annual price gains were all observed in Southern Ontario. Ottawa made the largest gains with a typical home hitting $400,800 in February, up 7.41% from the same month last year. Guelph followed with a typical home reaching $527,300, up 6.84% from last year. Niagara came in third at $393,500, up 6.54% from last year. These markets all trail the national price, and are close to their all-time peak.
Canadian Real Estate Benchmark Price
The price of a typical home in Canada’s largest real estate markets.
Region
Feb 2019
Peak
Vancouver
1,016,600
1,104,600
Oakville-Milton
961,000
1,049,600
Fraser Valley
822,100
885,900
Toronto
767,800
815,200
Victoria
680,800
696,100
Aggregate
615,300
631,100
Hamilton
587,300
588,300
Guelph
527,300
530,000
Barrie
458,600
532,700
Calgary
409,800
455,500
Ottawa
400,800
400,800
Niagara
393,500
393,500
Montreal
353,400
353,400
Edmonton
315,700
373,800
Saskatoon
282,600
317,900
Regina
262,800
307,700
Moncton
177,600
184,100
Source: CREA, Better Dwelling.
Western Canadian Real Estate Leads Prices Lower
Real estate markets leading the way lower were all located in Western Canada. The typical home in Vancouver fell to $1,016,600 in February, down 6.1% from last year – the largest drop in the country. Regina did slightly better with prices falling to $262,800, down 5.13% from last year. Edmonton fell to $315,700, 4.49% from last year.
Steve Axford grew up in Victoria, BC and has always been active in his community. Steve is a Victoria Cougars Hockey Team alumni as well as a Victoria Shamrocks (intermediate) alumni. During his time....
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